Ecstatic-Contrast

0xbca17b0d255c88c972d859a76676e43432de7181

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ecstatic-Contrast: +$897 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$897
return +8.0%
Settled bets
3
$11K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$897
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 3 BUY No @ 92¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 3?
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 3? $5.1K
Sep 3 SELL No @ 99¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? $7.9K
Sep 2 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 2?
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 2? $1.8K
Sep 2 BUY No @ 87¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 2?
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 2? $2.6K
Sep 1 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1? $1.8K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed