Offbeat-Rye

0xb64fe08cf7ebbf52cf2963bba89deb13b79ddc88

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Offbeat-Rye: +$3.8K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 57%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.8K
return +27.4%
Settled bets
5
$14K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 57%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.7K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$23
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$996
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 30 BUY PARIVISION @ 81¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 26 BUY Natus Vincere @ 57¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 22 BUY Aurora @ 98¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage $1.2K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 97¢
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? $5.0K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 68¢
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? $5.6K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed