Grandiose-Brunch

0x736e16ec9181cabb9e97cb1b7a350024f9fc2ef5

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Grandiose-Brunch: +$2.5K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 93% (95% range 69%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$2.5K
return +1.5%
Settled bets
14
$167K staked
Won
92.9%
95% range 69%–99%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$2.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY Portugal @ 97¢
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY Portugal @ 97¢
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY Portugal @ 97¢
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY Portugal @ 97¢
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY Portugal @ 97¢
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY Portugal @ 97¢
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY Portugal @ 97¢
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY Portugal @ 97¢
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed