Slow-Manifestation
0x6df1bd42411b29f0d263f58da72c9efdfa54ea12
Slow-Manifestation: +$1.9K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.9K
return +58.8%
Settled bets
2
$3.1K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$5.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 50¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 8¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 52¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 81¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | $1.4K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 80¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | $3.5K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Yes
@ 22¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | $3.6K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Yes
@ 20¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $5.0K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $3.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.