Able-Typewriter

0x5a8fbd94d3df9f164c642330266d25e2a1cae5f5

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Able-Typewriter: −$5.8K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 30% (95% range 11%–60%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$5.8K
return −23.7%
Settled bets
10
$25K staked
Won
30.0%
95% range 11%–60%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$5.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 31 BUY Under @ 54¢
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: 1st Half O/U 2.5
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: 1st Half O/U 2.5 $1.4K
Aug 30 BUY Under @ 47¢
SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5
SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5 $2.8K
Aug 30 BUY Under @ 58¢
FC Augsburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
FC Augsburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5 $2.7K
Aug 30 BUY Under @ 53¢
Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 5.5
Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 5.5 $5.3K
Aug 27 BUY Under @ 42¢
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 $2.1K
Aug 24 BUY Under @ 47¢
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5 $4.6K
Aug 24 BUY Under @ 56¢
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5 $1.2K
Aug 22 BUY Under @ 50¢
Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5 $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed