Unlined-Decongestant

0x59118e4d50e31a75c6b7aeb35b9e04a97f09a5a8

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unlined-Decongestant: +$13K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 70% (95% range 40%–89%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$13K
return +53.3%
Settled bets
10
$24K staked
Won
70.0%
95% range 40%–89%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$13K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 29 BUY San Francisco Giants @ 47¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants $2.5K
Aug 28 BUY Under @ 50¢
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 $2.0K
Aug 27 BUY Houston Astros @ 41¢
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees $2.2K
Aug 26 BUY Under @ 46¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 $2.7K
Aug 25 BUY Under @ 54¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 $3.0K
Aug 25 BUY Under @ 48¢
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 $2.0K
Aug 25 BUY Detroit Tigers @ 46¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers $3.0K
Aug 23 BUY Under @ 47¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed