0x4258…7408

0x425816e7BaA61beaeBce5D8315577018af8a7408

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0x4258…7408: +$348 on 87 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 62% (95% range 52%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$348
return +4.5%
Settled bets
87
$7.7K staked
Won
62.1%
95% range 52%–72%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 84 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 5 – Sep 20
+$580
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$232
Settled profit in each two-week period since Sep 5. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −28.5% (538 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 21 BUY Down @ 23¢ flagged
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min $58
Sep 21 BUY Up @ 77¢
ETH Up or Down - 15 Min
ETH Up or Down - 15 Min $154
Sep 21 BUY Down @ 38¢
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min $78
Sep 20 BUY Up @ 52¢
ETH Up or Down - 15 Min
ETH Up or Down - 15 Min $104
Sep 20 BUY Down @ 37¢
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min $74
Sep 20 BUY Down @ 70¢
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min $140
Sep 19 BUY Up @ 80¢ flagged
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min $80
Sep 18 BUY Up @ 84¢
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min
BTC Up or Down - 15 Min $172

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed