Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer
0x3d7d0ba6c4cb6608e9b2ae9a7c6b4d822c6510fc
Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer: +$540 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$540
return +37.0%
Settled bets
1
$1.5K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$540
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 81¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.6K |
| Sep 30 | BUY No
@ 99.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.3K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 73¢
Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? |
Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | $1.5K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.