Firsthand-Mythology
0x05cde36402b7ee4cf2591d76d125ddaeee6486a6
Firsthand-Mythology: −$3.6K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.6K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$3.6K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | SELL Yes
@ 78¢
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | $6.3K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | $3.6K |
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 69¢
Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Will Trump and Putin not meet? | $7.2K |
| Sep 10 | BUY No
@ 86¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | $7.0K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 81¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | $6.9K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.